Opinions matter

The odd face of Facebook

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Facebook, one of the fastest growing social network sites has really screwed up User Interface (UI) design with its new look. Take a look at the screen capture above. Now you tell me in 5 seconds the intuitive difference between clicking on: [Facebook] and [home], [home] and [profile], [profile] and [Georges van Hoegaerden], [settings] and [profile], and [settings] and [Georges van Hoegaerden].

But more importantly, Facebook has clearly not read my blog on removing the technology language to appeal to consumers, an issue that prevents many consumer technology companies from maximizing their growth potential. But who’s counting at Facebook these days?

Facebook is a technology company that exposes social networking capabilities in a very technological fashion. The examples are plenty: the workings of the UI described above, the categorization of data optimized to suit their internal data-models and the very complicated way to add applications to the platform, and we can keep going on. But for now, they’ll get away with it. Other consumer technology companies won’t be that lucky.

A great user interface can never be an objective by itself as that just presents a pretty face, try living with a person that only has that. The ultimate user experience (and this is where I politically depart from the previous analogy), is defined by an ecosystem of capabilities, cost and ease-of-use that creates the real and sustainable appeal.

BMW figured out early on that the Ultimate Driving Experience™ is what sells cars albeit their engine capabilities and timing was their initial core strengths. Today they sell the sum of all parts, The Ultimate Driving experience: great engine capabilities, spiffy performance, practical design and excellent comfort - a thrilling way to drive from A to B.

Facebook currently has a horrible “Ultimate Social Experience”: good (but no longer unique) social networking, so-so performance, impractical design and pretty bad comfort. Those are probably the reasons why 90% of my Facebook friends never use any Facebook features but simply create an account.

Many of Facebook’s recent poor decisions (including ad network issues etc) are evidence that user growth is outpacing their ability to grow up. And that could be catastrophic. Facebook is a great social networking platform with a lot of potential that many people rely on.

Facebook better watch out and prevent that too many people will start hating it. Those same users may use Facebooks own social networking capability to turn it off as fast as they initially turned it on.

10 Investment lessons learned over 10 years

Over the last 10 years I've also been closely involved with early stage technology funding (advising VC firms and Angels) and have invested personal time and money in early stage ventures. That has given me a unique perspective of the challenges between entrepreneurs and investors.

I've written about my Top 10 fundraising lessons for entrepreneurs, and dare to follow up with my Top 10 investment strategies that may be useful to investors and entrepreneurs, here:

1) Invest in the founders, but be wary if the company consists of technologists only. The ones that come in without an operating plan clearly do not understand what you as an investor are looking for. Get a real operator in early.

2) Invest in the business, don't invest in technology. The statistics prove it: ninety-nine out of a hundred of the most innovative technologies never turn into successful businesses. Especially investors (both VC and Angels) that made their money in the hay-days of technology have a tendency to underfund the business side, providing a weak foundation for any technology to succeed.

3) Don't invest in an early stage company with more than one product or service. Let the company become the King-of-One, rather than the King-of-None. Multiple products or services require more money to support successfully and dramatically dilutes the focus of the company. Multiple products or services also "invite" a larger group of competitors, making it hard for customers to perceive true differentiation and unknowingly, slows down adoption.

4) Don't invest in an early stage company with more than one business model. Keep it simple. Multiple revenue models sound good, but usually don't yield the projected outcome. The company should make all of its money in advertising or in subscriptions, not in both. Dilution of focus is costly and provides yet another reason for failure.

5) Don't invest in companies that rely heavily on partner support early on. This is the typical David and Goliath phenomenon. Partners sell once the company does in overwhelming numbers. The company should always have direct control of its own business model first, before they allow any partner to reduce its margins.

6) Invest money or time, don't do both. I very much relate to Carl Icahn in an interview with Dan Primack (on PEhub) with regards to CEOs responsibility to make the numbers work, and not to rely on investors to "add value". The CEO is in the driver seat, take him out if he doesn't produce.

7) Look for fundamental changes in customer experience. The Ultimate Driving Experience is what sets BMW apart, not just the timing in their engines. Customer experience is much more than a pretty user interface, it is an overall experience that spawns disruptive purchasing.

8) Watch how professional the team operates pre-funding as an indication of their interaction post-funding and with customers. Real professionals do everything with a purpose and I have mastered the art of detecting them. So well that I can tell from a visit to a trade-show floor whether a company is going places.

9) Don't categorize investment allocations based on past investments or trends. Every company is unique and requires an amount of money unique to their assets: people, timing, market and ecosystem. If you don't think you have a unique scenario, you probably don't have a valuable investment opportunity.

10) Invest with passion but don't fall in love with the company. Investing is the ultimate flirting game, but it is usually a bad idea to get really involved. Your asset value is the selection and performance of all the companies in your fund. Stick with what you do best.

From an investment perspective I see many "sub-optimizations" but not a lot of real great innovations these days. I do blame the current investment model for that sometimes. We, in Silicon Valley, have too many technology investors using the same rearview-mirror investment criteria. Although I have a lot of admiration for Apple, it is a bad sign when we need to leave real innovation in the hands of large companies like theirs.

The landscape for investors is about to change dramatically, no longer can they just continue to invest in proprietary technology silos at single digit valuations. They'll soon need to broaden their experience ("in search of the Economist VC") to understand the macro-economic impact of marketplaces, platforms and the impact of technology to other industries.

A wonderful long road for technology innovation and investing still lies ahead.

Develop an experience, not just a product

My 3 year old daughter uses my iPhone to play music videos and YouTube videos and has not touched a PC (or better, a Mac) yet. With the same content available on either she's obviously seen me operate my Mac and looks over my shoulder now and then, but finds all the keys and even the "Magic-mouse" complicated. Clearly a usage experience is more important to her than shear processing power. Sounds familiar doesn't it? Nintendo anyone?
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What I see in so many early business plans today is the old-fashioned notion of deep technology expertise, something most traditional investors still harp on. I see too many BMW engines being developed without attention being paid to the development of The Ultimate Driving Experience®. True, you can't build the driving experience without great engines, but BMW, like no other vendor understands that the total experience is the selling point. In the end, technology will become commoditized and its differentiation will be determined by the way it interacts with content, media, social network, end-users to create a well designed user experience.

Apple is another company that understands that focus on user experience very well. Its products are a piece of art, its function (to a novice) is at least competitive. Buying a Mac is an experience, and so is using it. A much better experience than buying a PC in every way. The box your Mac comes is even a work of art, the way it folds open, the new materials, everything builds to the experience. As a customer you feel special, owning an iPod with your name engrave on it and all your music in it. And that is what Apple customers are buying into: feeling special and appreciated. Attention paid to you!

Now every market segment has its own definition of user experience, so don't go do what Apple does before you understand how you can differentiate. But every software, service or content vendor should consider building a unique customer experience that in the end - sells more. It's a CEO level responsibility because it involves making sizable investments in complementary areas, not just a marketing ploy. The days of just selling a product are over.

Cyclical innovation

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Remember the Citroën ID19 and DS21? These cars produced in 1955 by the former research arm of Michelin, delivered a comfortable ride by providing hydro-pneumatic self-leveling suspension, directional headlights, and many more advanced technologies that now (fifty years later) seem to make their resurgence in modern luxury cars from BMW, Mercedes and Lexus. Likewise, on the technology side Data General provided in the 1980s integrated chat capabilities with the word processing software that ran on terminal based mini-computers, not unlike the capabilities of MSN Messenger, Yahoo! Chat and Google Talk. Many more examples like these exist; I must have seen the technology of MySpace probably twenty times over in the last 5 years. So, what makes innovation pop, or click....what is the right time?

To stay in the automotive realm, I often liken the traction achieved by cars on a dirt road (the entrepreneurial path to success) with the need for the driving weels to rotate at similar speeds. If the left wheel represents innovation and the right wheel represents market demand, it is easy to imagine how innovation pays off when both wheels move a the same or rapidly alternating speeds (client-server technology was one of those examples where the wheel of technology innovation was turning much faster than the wheel representing market demand). That uniform cadence provides a fair amount of certainty that the car will follow the entrepreneurial track you intend to pursue.

My point is the following: to investors, I urge you to look at technology and no matter how old, understand how its benefits apply to a changed market (yes, we need more economist VCs). To entrepreneurs, I urge you to look at markets and adjust the innovation (in most cases downplay it) to meet that demand. All of us in the Silicon Valley could use more macro-economic insight to make innovation work. Lets not just drive for short term exit appeal or stuff our own pockets, but create innovation that has a lasting impact on society.

In the interest of full-disclosure, the Citroën DS21 was my first car...